argue vs surmise

argue

verb
  • To show grounds for concluding (that); to indicate, imply. 

  • To have an argument, a quarrel. 

  • To debate, disagree, or discuss opposing or differing viewpoints. 

  • To present (a viewpoint or an argument therefor). 

surmise

verb
  • To imagine or suspect; to conjecture; to posit with contestable premises. 

noun
  • Thought, imagination, or conjecture, which may be based upon feeble or scanty evidence; suspicion; guess. 

  • Reflection; thought; posit. 

How often have the words argue and surmise occurred in a corpus of books? (source: Google Ngram Viewer )