expect vs surmise

expect

verb
  • To predict or believe that something will happen 

  • To consider obligatory or required. 

  • To consider reasonably due. 

  • To be pregnant, to consider a baby due. 

surmise

verb
  • To imagine or suspect; to conjecture; to posit with contestable premises. 

noun
  • Thought, imagination, or conjecture, which may be based upon feeble or scanty evidence; suspicion; guess. 

  • Reflection; thought; posit. 

How often have the words expect and surmise occurred in a corpus of books? (source: Google Ngram Viewer )