likelihood vs long shot

likelihood

noun
  • The probability of a specified outcome; the chance of something happening; probability; the state or degree of being probable. 

  • The probability that some fixed outcome was generated by a random distribution with a specific parameter. 

  • Likeness, resemblance. 

long shot

noun
  • Something unlikely; something that has little chance of happening or working. 

  • A master shot, the primary wide shot of a scene into which the closeups will be edited later. 

  • A shot fired at a distant target. 

How often have the words likelihood and long shot occurred in a corpus of books? (source: Google Ngram Viewer )